New Jersey's 4th District
Monday, November 22, 2010
Who do elections help?
Friday, November 5, 2010
Smith wins 70% of votes
As the polls came to a close in the fourth district of New Jersey late last night, no one was too surprised by the outcome. Incumbent Republican Chris Smith soundly beat his challenger Howard Kleinhendler, in fact he tromped him. Smith won 125,360 votes, about 70%, while Kleinhendler only got 50,225 votes, or a measly 30%.
This is not the first time that Smith dominated his opponent in an election. In 2008 Smith won by nearly 66%, even during a highly Democratic push in Congress.
"I'm humbled by those numbers," Smith told NJ.com. "Nationwide, it really shows that people are making a serious course correction. There have been so many excesses, particularly in the spending area."
It seems that Smith is happy that a number of important seats in the House have been won by a Republican challenger.
Klienhendler may not have overthrown Smith but he doesn't think his campaign was a complete waste of time. He hopes that some of the issues that got brought up concerning Smith, will continue to be in the spotlight.
"I still think I raised a lot of important issues, and I think Congressman Smith started paying attention," Kleinhendler also told NJ.com. "I hope he got the message that Congress isn't just about human rights, it's also about your district, about creating jobs, and bringing in federal money for infrastructure improvements, in particular trains to New York, which I think is critical for the district to prosper."
The bottom line is that Smith will be representing the 4th district of New Jersey for another two years.
Friday, October 29, 2010
An impossible task
I've said it for weeks now, but as the congressional elections loom just a few days away, it seems worth repeating-- beating incumbent Chris Smith is an impossible task.
With just under a week left to elections, the campaign in the 4th district of New Jersey has the same atmosphere it did since the primary in early June. Unlike most states, advertisements aren't splashed all over the television and campaign signs don't litter front lawns. It appears that Howard Kleinhendler never threw himself whole heartedly in to this race, he ran uncontested in the primary and probably would have lost if he had a challenger.
Paul S. Herrnson talks about election success in the ninth chapter of his book, Congressional Elections, and how difficult it is for a challenger to beat out an incumbent.
"The typical House challenger is in a position similar to that of a novice athlete pitted against a world-class sprinter." This metaphor seems written specifically for the race between Smith and Kleinhendler. While Smith has around 20 years of experience in office, Kleinhendler is essentially a nobody, with consequently no chance of winning.
"Most challengers begin the general election at a disadvantage. Lacking a broad base of support, these candidates must build one. Challengers need to mount aggressive campaigns to become visible, build name recognition, give voters reasons to support them, and overcome the initial advantages of their opponents," Herrnson said. But Kleinhendler never did this; most voters don't even his name, let alone a good reason to vote for him.
That's not to say that Kleinhendler isn't a skilled politician that could do some good if he was ever elected to office, but as Herrnson said, "… most House challengers lose because the odds are so heavily stacked against them" not because they aren't qualified.
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